Financial Roadmap: The Week Ahead April 27 to May 1, 2009
The upcoming week could be a volatile one, especially in Forex markets. The week starts with the Conference Board's report on euro zone Leading Indicators. With the European Central Bank's reluctance to match other central bank's levels of easing, this is not likely to inspire confidence in the euro, but any boost this gives to the dollar is likely to be short lived. The Treasury Department is making announcements or holding auctions for 2-year, 3-year, 5-year, 7-year and 10-year Treasury notes, 52-week T-bills and 30-year Treasury bonds this week, in addition to the normal T-bill auctions and topping it all off with the quarterly refunding announcement. Bottom line: the markets are going to get hit with solid numbers on hundreds of billions of dollars in Treasury borrowing. Top all that off with an announcement Wednesday from the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee and Wednesday is likely to see lots of action in many markets.
Friday will be another very interesting day with three major numbers due out in the industrial arena: motor vehicle sales for April, factory orders for March and the ISM Manufacturing Report on Business and Purchasing Managers Index. With the consensus estimates calling for further improvements in car sales and the PMI, the risk is slanted slightly to the downside. This is not a day for short term bets, but smart investors will definitely take note of the trend in manufacturing as they make their decisions the following week.
|
Day / Date |
Monday |
Tuesday |
Wednesday |
Thursday |
Friday |
|
Indicators |
Euro Area Leading Index from the Conference Board |
US Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board
S&P Case Shiller Housing Price Index Weekly Redbook Retail Index |
1st Quarter Gross Domestic Product from the Commerce Department
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement from the Federal Reserve Mexico Leading Index from the Conference Board Australia Leading Index from the Conference Board Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association Weekly Petroleum Inventory Report and This Week in Petroleum from the Energy Information Administration |
Employment Cost Index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Personal Income and Outlays from the Commerce Department Weekly Jobless Claims report from the Employment and Training Administration Weekly Money Supply (M1 and M2) from the Federal Reserve Weekly Natural Gas Report from the Energy Information Administration |
April Motor Vehicle Sales
Purchasing Managers Index from the Institute for Supply Management Factory Orders from the Commerce Department |
|
Treasury Auctions and Announcements |
11 AM: 4-Week T-Bill Announcement
11:30AM: 3-Month and 6- Month T-Bill Auctions 1 PM: 2-Year Note Auction |
1 PM: 4-Week T-Bill Auction
1 PM: 5-Year Note Auction |
Treasury Refunding Announcement
9 AM: 30-Year Bond Announcement 11 AM: 3-Year and 10-Year Note Announcement 1 PM: 7-Year Note Auction |
11 AM: 3-Month and 6-Month T-Bill Announcements
11 AM: 52-Week T-Bill Announcement |
None |
*See more information on the Financial Roadmap series here. Earnings reports are companies of interest, NOT recommendations.
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